Oscar Nom Predix

My full rationales for picks in Oscar's lead categories are available here, but here's where I've wound up—in advance of the nomination announcements which will take place this Tuesday, at 8:30am. Tune into any of the morning "news" shows like Today or Good Morning America to see Academy prez Frank Pierson and boho-ingenue du jour Adrien Brody read the lucky names.

PICTURE: The Aviator, Finding Neverland, Hotel Rwanda, Million Dollar Baby, Sideways

DIRECTOR: Eastwood/Million Dollar Baby, Gondry/Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind, Payne/Sideways, Scorsese/The Aviator, Zhang/House of Flying Daggers

ACTRESS: Bening/Being Julia, Sandino Moreno/Maria Full of Grace, Staunton/Vera Drake, Swank/Million Dollar Baby, Winslet/Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind

ACTOR: Cheadle/Hotel Rwanda, Depp/Finding Neverland, DiCaprio/The Aviator, Foxx/Ray, Giamatti/Sideways

SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Blanchett/The Aviator, Madsen/Sideways, Portman/Closer, Warren/Ray, Winslet/Finding Neverland

SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Carradine/Kill Bill, Vol. 2, Church/Sideways, Foxx/Collateral, Freeman/Million Dollar Baby, Owen/Closer

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: The Aviator, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind, The Incredibles, Kinsey, Ray

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: Closer, Finding Neverland, Million Dollar Baby, The Motorcycle Diaries, Sideways

CINEMATOGRAPHY: The Aviator, Collateral, House of Flying Daggers, The Motorcycle Diaries, The Passion of the Christ

FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM: Les Choristes/The Chorus (France), House of Flying Daggers (Hong Kong), The Sea Inside (Spain), A Touch of Spice (Greece), Whisky (Uruguay)